本研究以福州市主城区为例,基于POI与路网数据识别功能区,结合ECOSTRESS夜间地表温度(LST)及多维城市形态指标,构建XGBoost-SHAP模型分析夜间LST空间分异与非线性驱动机制。结果表明:(1)夜间LST功能区异质性显著,居住用地是核心热区,而工矿用地表现为显著低温区。(2)社会经济因子(夜间灯光强度NTL、人口密度POP)与三维形态因子(平均建筑高度BH)是夜间升温
的主导因素,影响力高于二维形态因子。(3)关键因子对夜间LST的影响存在显著阈值:NTL在值达到约40后边际效应趋于饱和;POP和BH的关键阈值分别约为150人/公顷和20米。本研究为精细化热环境调控提供科学依据。
Integrating ECOSTRESS and Urban Functional Zones identified via POI and road network data, this study
uses an XGBoost-SHAP framework to analyze spatial differentiation and non-linear drivers of nighttime Land Surface
Temperature (LST) in Fuzhou’s main urban area. Results indicate: (1) Residential zones are heat sources whereas
industrial zones are cold spots. (2) Socio-economic factors of Nighttime Light Intensity(NTL) and Population Density (POP),
plus the 3D morphology factor Average Building Height (BH), dominate warming over 2D factors. (3) NTL saturates near
40; POP and BH thresholds are approximately 150 people/ha and 20 m. Findings support zone-specific regulation.